Master equations for general non-Markovian processes: the Hawkes process and beyond
- Date
- February 5 (Wed) at 16:30 - 18:00, 2025 (JST)
- Speaker
-
- Kiyoshi Kanazawa (Associate Professor, Division of Physics and Astronomy, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University)
- Language
- English
- Host
- Kyosuke Adachi
The Markovian process is one of the most important classes of stochastic processes. The Markovian process is defined as a stochastic process whose time evolution is independent of the system's entire history and has been extensively studied using the master equation and Fokker-Planck equation approaches. In contrast, non-Markovian processes -- where time evolution depends on the full history of the system -- have not been systematically explored, except for a few special cases, such as semi-Markovian processes. In this talk, we present a recent master-equation approach to general non-Markovian jump processes [1-4]. Beginning with a general non-Markovian jump process, we derive the corresponding master equation through a Markovian-embedding approach. The Markovian embedding is a scheme to add a sufficient number of auxiliary variables to convert a non-Markovian model to a high-dimensional Markovian model. For the case of our model, the one-dimensional non-Markovian model is shown to be equivalent to a Markovian stochastic field theory, and we derive the field master equation correspondingly [4]. As an application, we examine the nonlinear Hawkes process, a history-dependent and self-exciting model frequently used in studying complex systems [1-3]. Additionally, we explore the stochastic thermodynamic framework for general jump processes [5] as another example.
References
- K. Kanazawa and D. Sornette, Nonuniversal Power Law Distribution of Intensities of the Self-Excited Hawkes Process: A Field-Theoretical Approach, Phys. Rev. Lett. 125, 138301 (2020), doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.125.138301
- K. Kanazawa and D. Sornette, Ubiquitous Power Law Scaling in Nonlinear Self-Excited Hawkes Processes, Phys. Rev. Lett. 127, 188301 (2021), doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.127.188301
- K. Kanazawa and D. Sornette, Asymptotic solutions to nonlinear Hawkes processes: A systematic classification of the steady-state solutions, Phys. Rev. Res. 5, 013067 (2023), doi: 10.1103/PhysRevResearch.5.013067
- K. Kanazawa and D. Sornette, Standard form of master equations for general non-Markovian jump processes: The Laplace-space embedding framework and asymptotic solution, Phys. Rev. Res. 6, 023270 (2024), doi: 10.1103/PhysRevResearch.6.023270
- K. Kanazawa and A. Dechant, in preparation
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